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MODULE 02 // HYDROLOGY // AUTO-GENERATED 2026-05-04

🌊 Green Flood United States: South-Central Texas Inundation and Displacement Risk

Prolonged flood event affecting San Antonio and south-central Texas (Apr 13–May 3, 2026) driven by stationary front and Gulf moisture surge. River discharge exceeds bankfull; evacuations underway.

SOURCE USGS · NASA · NOAA
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// MODULE 02 // HYDROLOGY — AUTO-PUBLISHED May 04, 2026

A prolonged flood event is affecting the south-central United States beginning April 13, 2026, with the epicenter near San Antonio, Texas (29.425°N, 98.495°W). The flooding is expected to persist through May 3, 2026, posing significant risks to communities across multiple watersheds in the region. Heavy rainfall over saturated soils and elevated river levels are driving widespread inundation, with the greatest hazard to low-lying areas, evacuation zones, and critical infrastructure along drainage corridors.

THE SCIENCE

This flood event is driven by a stationary weather pattern that has locked moisture-rich air masses over south-central Texas for an extended period. The warm, moist flow from the Gulf of Mexico collides with a quasi-stationary frontal boundary, generating repeated rounds of thunderstorms and continuous rainfall over the same drainage basins. Hydrologically, the Guadalupe River and surrounding tributaries are responding to cumulative precipitation by exceeding bankfull discharge; soil infiltration capacity has been exceeded, forcing water rapidly downslope into urban and agricultural areas.

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Atmospheric Cause
Stationary front + Gulf moisture surge creates sustained heavy rain over Texas watersheds.
Hydro-meteorology
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Scale & Duration
20-day flood cycle (Apr 13–May 3) affecting San Antonio metropolitan area and surrounding counties.
Regional Impact
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Watershed Context
Guadalupe and Colorado River basins historically sensitive to rapid runoff; karst topography accelerates flow.
Texas Hydrology

HOW PANDITA DATA TRACKS THIS

Pandita Data integrates NOAA rainfall radar, USGS stream gauge telemetry, and satellite-derived soil moisture to model flood propagation in real time. Cumulative rainfall maps reveal the spatial distribution of precipitation, while stream discharge data pinpoint where rivers exceed flood stage. The 3D flood simulation visualizes water depth and flow velocity across affected terrain, enabling emergency managers to identify high-risk corridors and optimize evacuation routes.

FLOOD HAZARD FACTS

Flash floods in south-central Texas can occur within minutes of heavy rainfall due to steep terrain and impervious urban surfaces. River flooding develops over hours to days as runoff accumulates downstream. The most dangerous floodwaters move at 10+ mph and can sweep vehicles off roads; a mere 12 inches of flowing water is sufficient to displace a car.

EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS

1
Never Drive or Walk Through Floodwater
Turn around at barricaded roads immediately. Floodwater depth is deceptive; unseen currents can sweep away vehicles and people. Move to higher ground and wait for water to recede before resuming travel.

Monitor live flood conditions and stream discharge data on Pandita Data's 3D flood simulation. Real-time radar and USGS gauges update continuously, helping you assess risk to your location and make informed evacuation decisions.

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What caused this flooding event?
A stationary front over Texas combined with Gulf moisture surge creates sustained heavy rainfall, saturating soils and exceeding river discharge capacity.
Which areas face the highest flood risk?
San Antonio metro, Guadalupe River valley, and low-lying counties in south-central Texas face severe inundation risk through May 3, 2026.
What should people in affected areas do right now?
Evacuate immediately if ordered. Monitor NOAA alerts. Never drive through floodwater. Move to high ground and have emergency supplies ready for 20+ days of disruption.
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