The full 7-signal earthquake risk formula: seismicity rate, magnitude, proximity, GPS deformation, Z-anomaly, terrain, and AI vision.
🧠 OPEN BRAIN DASHBOARD LIVEEvery second, invisible forces reshape our planet. Deep beneath your feet, tectonic plates grind against one another—storing energy that, when released, can level cities. But what if you could see that energy build-up in real time? What if a single number could tell you exactly how likely an earthquake is in your region right now? That's what the Brain Dashboard's Earthquake Risk Score does. It doesn't predict when earthquakes happen. Instead, it measures seven interconnected signals of crustal stress and reveals the probability of significant seismic activity.
The Brain Dashboard's earthquake algorithm is a weighted neural blend. Seven independent data streams feed into Pandita's AI engine, each contributing a precise percentage to a final 0–100 risk score. This isn't magic—it's rigorous geophysics meets machine learning. The formula is transparent, auditable, and updated every 15 minutes with fresh seismic and geodetic data.
The backbone of earthquake forecasting is repetition. Faults that rupture frequently are faults that will rupture again—often following statistical patterns called the Gutenberg-Richter law. The Brain Dashboard counts earthquakes M2.0+ in a rolling 90-day window. A sudden spike in micro-seismicity (foreshock swarms) elevates the score. Conversely, periods of unusual quiet after high activity may indicate stress redistribution—also a signal worth monitoring. This signal carries the heaviest weight because seismic catalogues are the longest, most reliable dataset we have.
Max Magnitude (22%): The largest earthquake ever recorded at a fault sets an upper bound on future ruptures. A region with M7.2 history is inherently riskier than one with only M5.0 events—different fault geometry, different stored energy.
Proximity (18%): Distance to active faults, subduction zones, and mid-ocean ridge systems. The algorithm calculates both direct distance and "stress shadow" zones where distant ruptures can trigger local earthquakes.
GPS Deformation (12%): GNSS stations measure millimeter-scale crustal motion. Accelerating convergence or shear rates signal locked faults accumulating slip deficit. This is real-time stress measurement.
Magnetic Z-Anomaly (8%): Changes in Earth's local magnetic field can indicate deep crustal stress redistribution. This cutting-edge signal is still being validated but shows promise in subduction zones.
Terrain & Geology (7%): Fault age, rock type, and surface deformation. Young, steep faults are more hazardous than ancient, shallow ones.
Gemini Vision AI (5%): Satellite imagery analyzed for subtle ground rupture, liquefaction scars, and fault creep. A minor but growing signal.
Visit the Brain Dashboard to see live earthquake risk scores by region. Check the Disaster Report for city-level analysis. Risk scores are probabilistic—a high score does not mean an earthquake will occur, only that conditions favor increased seismic activity. Use this tool alongside official hazard maps from your national seismic survey.
The Earth is not a quiet place. Every fault, every subduction zone, every mid-ocean ridge is a clock ticking toward the next rupture. The Brain Dashboard's seven-signal algorithm turns geological silence into audible warning. Science doesn't predict earthquakes—but it can measure the tension 🧠 OPEN BRAIN DASHBOARD