Real-time coverage of tropicalCyclones event — BAVI-26 — Pandita Data.
🌀 OPEN LIVE 3D WEATHER ALERTSTropical Cyclone BAVI-26 is intensifying in the Western Pacific near Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands on July 1, 2026, with sustained winds exceeding 150 km/h and a track toward Japan, Taiwan, and China. Multiple island communities and densely populated coastal regions face severe wind, storm surge, and rainfall hazards within 72 hours.
The cyclone poses immediate threats to approximately 2.5 million people across the region. Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, located ~2,500 km west of the storm's current position, are in the projected impact zone, while Japan's southern prefectures, Taiwan's eastern coast, and southeastern China are under elevated alert. Storm surge could exceed 2 metres in exposed bays; rainfall rates may reach 400 mm in 24 hours over mountainous terrain, triggering flash floods and landslides.
BAVI-26 develops from the warm waters of the Western Pacific basin, where sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C fuel rapid convection and latent heat release. The cyclone's circulation is steered northwestward by the subtropical ridge, a persistent high-pressure system dominating mid-latitude Pacific weather. Wind shear remains moderate, allowing further intensification before landfall.
Tropical cyclones derive energy from ocean-atmosphere coupling: as warm air rises over heated water, it cools aloft, releasing moisture as rain and converting latent heat into rotational kinetic energy. This self-sustaining engine can strengthen rapidly if conditions remain favourable, as they do in this region during July.
Pandita Data integrates real-time NOAA satellite imagery, microwave radiometer wind retrievals, and numerical model forecasts from JMA and ECMWF to map BAVI-26's track, intensity, and rainfall threat. Live 3D weather simulations show storm structure, wind field evolution, and storm-surge risk zones across Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the Western Pacific coast.
Central Pressure: ~925 hPa | Max Sustained Winds: 150+ km/h | Movement: WNW at 18 km/h | Forecast Landfall: Japan/Taiwan, 72–96 hours | Rainfall Risk: 250–400 mm over high terrain
Monitor Pandita Data's real-time 3D weather simulation and official alerts from JMA, CMA (China), and local emergency management. Visit panditadata.com/learn/ to visualize BAVI-26's projected path, intensity changes, and wind-gust patterns across your location.