Al Mawşil al Jadīdah, Iraq
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
28.5°C
Partly cloudy · feels 27.3°C · humidity 23%
Signal — Wind
1.3 km/h
Gusts to 5.0 km/h · direction 56°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1010 hPa
Sunrise 05:45 · Sunset 18:22
Signal — Sky & Visibility
16% cloud
Visibility 51.4 km · dew point 5.4°C
Signal — Earthquake
51.5 / 100
561 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: Turkey-Iraq border region (152.9 km, M5.9)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 238 m · slope 4.6°
Signal — Economic Impact
$330 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
64 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Silopi., Turkey
Signal — UV Index
6.25 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Erbil, Iraq (83 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
3
0.1/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.54)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.4
Avg M4.23 · min M4.1 · σ 0.15
Energy Released
111 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
35.0/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.4–6.4
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 36.5 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
459 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.9 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
3.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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