7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
22.9°C
Clear sky · feels 26.3°C · humidity 81%
Signal — Wind
1.5 km/h
Gusts to 7.2 km/h · direction 194°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1014 hPa
Sunrise 06:51 · Sunset 19:26
Signal — Sky & Visibility
4% cloud
Visibility 29.5 km · dew point 19.5°C
Signal — Earthquake
36.6 / 100
318 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 45 km SW of Och’amch’ire, Georgia (98.0 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
30 / 100
Elevation 7 m · slope 2.7°
Signal — Economic Impact
$253 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
38 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Abuseridze street, Batumi, Georgia
Signal — UV Index
6.2 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
LOW
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
201 km
Elbrus (Stratovolcano) · last erupted 50
Elbrus, the highest peak of the Caucasus Mountains of SW Russia, is a large glaciated stratovolcano. The summit area has two distinct peaks about 1 km apart, with a 250-m-wide crater on the eastern cone, separated by a low saddle from the western peak. Eruptive products cover 260 km2; its longest lava flow traveled 24 km down the NNE flank. Vlodavetz (in Blumenthal et al., 1964, CAVW) hypothesized…
Nearest other major location: Kutaisi, Georgia (112 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
1
0.03/day · Below normal activity (z=-4.01)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.1
Avg M4.1 · min M4.1 · σ 0
Energy Released
21 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
31.4/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-1.0–3.0
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 12.2 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
362 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 6.2 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
4.0 / 9
Unsettled — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.2
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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