7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
26.8°C
Partly cloudy · feels 30.2°C · humidity 68%
Signal — Wind
4.6 km/h
Gusts to 13.0 km/h · direction 51°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1022 hPa
Sunrise 06:43 · Sunset 19:42
Signal — Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 36.6 km · dew point 20.4°C
Signal — Earthquake
69.6 / 100
546 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 1 km ENE of Medolla, Italy (44.5 km, M5.8)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 72 m · slope 2.7°
Signal — Economic Impact
$719 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
38 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Porta San Felice, Emilia Romagna, Italy
Signal — UV Index
5.95 (Moderate)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Florence, Italy (80 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
1
0.03/day · Below normal activity (z=-4.01)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.1
Avg M4.1 · min M4.1 · σ 0
Energy Released
21 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
31.4/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-1.0–3.0
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 12.2 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
357 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 5.9 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
1.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B4.9
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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