Burgas, Bulgaria
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
18.2°C
Partly cloudy · feels 19.5°C · humidity 87%
Signal — Wind
4.7 km/h
Gusts to 9.7 km/h · direction 270°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1016 hPa
Sunrise 06:44 · Sunset 19:29
Signal — Sky & Visibility
49% cloud
Visibility 22.1 km · dew point 16.0°C
Signal — Earthquake
25.9 / 100
211 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 17 km ESE of Marmara Ere?lisi, Turkey (187.0 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
12 / 100
Elevation 37 m · slope 1.5°
Signal — Economic Impact
$136 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
21 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 · Meden Rudnik, Burgas, Bulgaria (Меден Рудник, Бургас)
Signal — UV Index
5.85 (Moderate)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
HIGH
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Varna, Bulgaria (87 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
3
0.1/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.54)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.6
Avg M4.4 · min M4.2 · σ 0.2
Energy Released
210 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
98.1 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 11.0–143.6 km
Underwriting Signal
36.5/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.4–6.4
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 36.5 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
445 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 3.8 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
3.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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