Cobán, Guatemala
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
17.8°C
Clear sky · feels 20.0°C · humidity 95%
Signal — Wind
1.7 km/h
Gusts to 4.3 km/h · direction 198°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1017 hPa
Sunrise 05:49 · Sunset 18:05
Signal — Sky & Visibility
11% cloud
Visibility 16.4 km · dew point 17.0°C
Signal — Earthquake
93.4 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 8 km SE of Canillá, Guatemala (61.4 km, M6.4)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 1333 m · slope 5.7°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
39 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 · Velódromo, Puebla, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
9.1 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
119 km
Agua (Stratovolcano) · no confirmed Holocene eruption
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Continental crust (> 25 km)
The symmetrical, forested Volcán de Agua stratovolcano forms an impressive backdrop to the city of Antigua, Guatemala, opposite from the Fuego and Acatenango volcanoes. The isolated basaltic andesite to andesite edifice makes it a prominent landmark visible from all directions. A circular 280-m-wide crater is breached on the NNE, six small pit craters are located on the NW flank, and two small con…
Nearest other major location: Guatemala City, Guatemala (93 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
32
1.07/day · Above normal activity (z=3.3)
Last 7 Days
6 events
19% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.8
Avg M4.46 · min M4 · σ 0.48
Energy Released
17,911 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
36.3 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–180.3 km
Underwriting Signal
64.8/100
Recommended tier: Standard
95% Confidence Range
20.9–43.1
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 389.3 events/yr · 0.4% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.2% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
410 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 5.4 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B5.1
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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