Ecatepec de Morelos, Mexico
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
14.4°C
Partly cloudy · feels 14.7°C · humidity 93%
Signal — Wind
5.0 km/h
Gusts to 12.6 km/h · direction 316°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1023 hPa
Sunrise 06:22 · Sunset 18:43
Signal — Sky & Visibility
70% cloud
Visibility 12.9 km · dew point 13.3°C
Signal — Earthquake
47.8 / 100
496 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 1 km S of Matzaco, Mexico (131.8 km, M7.1)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 2309 m · slope 6.5°
Signal — Economic Impact
$330 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
29 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 · Villa de las Flores, México, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
9.4 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
53 km
Chichinautzin (Volcanic field) · last erupted 399
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Continental crust (> 25 km)
The massive Chichinautzin volcanic field extends over an 88 km E-W area immediately south of Mexico City. The Sierra Chichinautzin, formed primarily of overlapping small cinder cones and shield volcanoes, creates a broad topographic barrier at the southern end of the Basin of Mexico that extends from the E flank of Nevado de Toluca to the W flank of Iztaccíhuatl. The volcanic field contains more t…
Nearest other major location: Mexico City, Mexico (33 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
1
0.03/day · Below normal activity (z=-4.01)
Last 7 Days
1 events
100% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.8
Avg M4.8 · min M4.8 · σ 0
Energy Released
239 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
36.7/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-1.0–3.0
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 12.2 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
452 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.7 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
1.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.7
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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