Elbasan, Albania
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
22.7°C
Clear sky · feels 20.9°C · humidity 38%
Signal — Wind
7.8 km/h
Gusts to 13.7 km/h · direction 34°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1018 hPa
Sunrise 06:10 · Sunset 19:06
Signal — Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 44.0 km · dew point 7.6°C
Signal — Earthquake
90.3 / 100
1083 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 12 km WSW of Debar, North Macedonia (48.6 km, M5.5)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 129 m · slope 1.5°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
28 hotspots
Nearest: 28.4 km away
Signal — Air Quality
21 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Lazaropole, Macedonia (Лазарополе)
Signal — UV Index
6.75 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Tirana, Albania (33 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
5
0.17/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.06)
Last 7 Days
1 events
20% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.8
Avg M4.44 · min M4.1 · σ 0.25
Energy Released
465 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
25.9 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–89.6 km
Underwriting Signal
39.3/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
0.6–9.4
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 60.8 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
342 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 5.7 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.6
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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