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Guadalajara, Mexico

20.6597, -103.3496  ·  updated 12 Sep 2026, 07:45 UTC  ·  composite signal 27.9/100
27.9Composite /100
HIGHTsunami Risk
50Air Quality
130kmNearest Volcano
0Wildfire Hotspots
8.7UV Index
2.0Kp Index
0Quakes 7d
Seismic activity map for Guadalajara, Mexico

7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region

7-day weather forecast map for Guadalajara, Mexico

7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind

7-day wind & rain chance

Global baseline

Signal — Current Conditions

18.4°C

Partly cloudy · feels 20.2°C · humidity 90%

Signal — Wind

3.7 km/h

Gusts to 8.3 km/h · direction 281°

Signal — Pressure & Sun

1017 hPa

Sunrise 06:39 · Sunset 18:58

Signal — Sky & Visibility

72% cloud

Visibility 26.6 km · dew point 16.8°C

Signal — Earthquake

52.9 / 100

538 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)

Nearest M5.5+: 5 km NNW of Emiliano Zapata, Mexico (218.1 km, M5.8)

Signal — Flood / Terrain

3 / 100

Elevation 1558 m · slope 3.8°

Signal — Economic Impact

$330 / yr expected

Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)

Signal — Wildfire (24h)

0 hotspots

None detected within ~55km

Signal — Air Quality

50 AQI

Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Centro, Jalisco, Mexico

Signal — UV Index

8.7 (Very High)

Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo

Signal — Tsunami Risk

HIGH

Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)

Signal — Nearest Volcano

130 km

Colima (Stratovolcano(es)) · last erupted 2019

746 people live within 10km of Colima · 1,494,790 within 100km
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Continental crust (> 25 km)

The Colima complex is the most prominent volcanic center of the western Mexican Volcanic Belt. It consists of two southward-younging volcanoes, Nevado de Colima (the high point of the complex) on the north and the historically active Volcán de Colima at the south. A group of late-Pleistocene cinder cones is located on the floor of the Colima graben west and east of the complex. Volcán de Colima (a…

Full Smithsonian GVP profile →

Nearest other major location: León de los Aldama, Mexico (181 km)

Next 24 hours — hourly detail

Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity

Seismic activity analysis (30-day, 500km)

30-Day Event Count

1

0.03/day · Below normal activity (z=-4.01)

Last 7 Days

0 events

0% of this month's activity happened this week

Largest Event

M4.4

Avg M4.4 · min M4.4 · σ 0

Energy Released

60 t TNT

Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)

Depth Profile

55.8 km avg

0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 55.8–55.8 km

Underwriting Signal

33.7/100

Recommended tier: Basic

95% Confidence Range

-1.0–3.0

Statistically expected event count for this window

Projected: 12.2 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years

Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)

Recent significant earthquakes (30yr, 300km)
M7.6 — 35 km SSW of Aguililla, Mexico 249 km, 26.9 km deep
M7.6 — 16 km SSW of Cuyutlán, Mexico 224 km, 24 km deep
M7.2 — 46 km WNW of El Habillal, Mexico 278 km, 33 km deep
M6.8 — 55 km SSW of Aguililla, Mexico 270 km, 20 km deep
M6.5 — 41 km NW of El Habillal, Mexico 279 km, 20 km deep
M6.5 — 24 km NNW of El Habillal, Mexico 289 km, 45.8 km deep

USGS FDSN

Space weather (planetary signal)

Signal — Solar Wind

414 km/s (Slightly elevated)

Magnetic field: 5.9 nT (Unsettled)

Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)

2.0 / 9

Quiet — planetary K-index

Signal — Solar Flare

B5.4

Current GOES X-ray flux class

Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.

Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)

Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.

Active regional alerts (GDACS, within 750km)
Green flood alert in Mexico 249 km away

Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)

No country-specific deep dive built yet for Mexico. Global baseline data above still reflects real, live USGS and elevation data for this exact coordinate.

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