7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
17.9°C
Partly cloudy · feels 17.8°C · humidity 84%
Signal — Wind
11.8 km/h
Gusts to 25.2 km/h · direction 34°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1020 hPa
Sunrise 05:50 · Sunset 18:07
Signal — Sky & Visibility
33% cloud
Visibility 32.3 km · dew point 15.1°C
Signal — Earthquake
97.1 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 3 km SSW of Amatitlán, Guatemala (25.8 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 1509 m · slope 3.4°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
56 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · SDS01, Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
9.35 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
30 km
Pacaya (Complex) · last erupted 2021
Eruptions from Pacaya are frequently visible from Guatemala City, the nation's capital. This complex basaltic volcano was constructed just outside the southern topographic rim of the 14 x 16 km Pleistocene Amatitlán caldera. A cluster of dacitic lava domes occupies the southern caldera floor. The post-caldera Pacaya massif includes the older Pacaya Viejo and Cerro Grande stratovolcanoes and the cu…
Nearest other major location: Villa Nueva, Guatemala (15 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
32
1.07/day · Above normal activity (z=3.3)
Last 7 Days
4 events
12% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.8
Avg M4.45 · min M4 · σ 0.49
Energy Released
17,848 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
34.3 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–129.3 km
Underwriting Signal
64.8/100
Recommended tier: Standard
95% Confidence Range
20.9–43.1
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 389.3 events/yr · 0.4% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.2% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
433 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.0 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
3.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.3
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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