Kapan, Armenia
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
17.4°C
Partly cloudy · feels 17.8°C · humidity 71%
Signal — Wind
1.6 km/h
Gusts to 7.6 km/h · direction 27°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1022 hPa
Sunrise 06:31 · Sunset 19:09
Signal — Sky & Visibility
39% cloud
Visibility 35.0 km · dew point 12.0°C
Signal — Earthquake
66.2 / 100
726 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 30 km WSW of Ahar, Iran (95.6 km, M6.2)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 777 m · slope 4.2°
Signal — Economic Impact
$719 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
80 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Aralik, Turkey
Signal — UV Index
6.75 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Nearest Volcano
69 km
Tskhouk-Karckar (Pyroclastic cone(s)) · last erupted -3000
Tectonic setting: Intraplate / Continental crust (> 25 km)
The Tskhouk-Karckar volcano group of cones and lava flows is located in the NW and central part of the Syunik Volcanic Upland along the Armenia/Azerbaijan border about 60 km SE of Lake Sevan. It was constructed within offset segments of the major Pambak-Sevan-Syunik strike-slip fault trending SE from Lake Sevan. Eight pyroclastic cones produced three generations of Holocene lava flows (Karakhanian…
Nearest other major location: Naxçıvan, Azerbaijan (86 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
2
0.07/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.77)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.9
Avg M4.45 · min M4 · σ 0.64
Energy Released
353 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
38.1/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.8–4.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 24.3 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
427 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.3 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.7
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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