Karbala, Iraq
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
33.9°C
Clear sky · feels 31.4°C · humidity 19%
Signal — Wind
11.7 km/h
Gusts to 19.4 km/h · direction 317°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1007 hPa
Sunrise 05:45 · Sunset 18:14
Signal — Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 54.2 km · dew point 7.0°C
Signal — Earthquake
39.3 / 100
402 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 16 km ESE of Mandal?, Iraq (199.7 km, M5.5)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
27 / 100
Elevation 32 m · slope 0.4°
Signal — Economic Impact
$253 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
56 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Silopi., Turkey
Signal — UV Index
6.75 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
LOW
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Baghdad, Iraq (84 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
4
0.13/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.3)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.5
Avg M4.3 · min M4.1 · σ 0.18
Energy Released
196 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
36.4/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
0.1–7.9
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 48.7 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
416 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 6.0 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B6.0
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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