7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
28.7°C
Overcast · feels 31.5°C · humidity 68%
Signal — Wind
14.5 km/h
Gusts to 29.2 km/h · direction 104°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1010 hPa
Sunrise 05:36 · Sunset 17:51
Signal — Sky & Visibility
99% cloud
Visibility 41.9 km · dew point 22.1°C
Signal — Earthquake
99.0 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 11 km NNE of La Paz Centro, Nicaragua (25.7 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
18 / 100
Elevation 105 m · slope 0.0°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
114 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · SDS01, Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
7.8 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
19 km
Telica (Stratovolcano(es)) · last erupted 2025
Telica, one of Nicaragua's most active volcanoes, has erupted frequently since the beginning of the Spanish era. This volcano group consists of several interlocking cones and vents with a general NW alignment. Sixteenth-century eruptions were reported at symmetrical Santa Clara volcano at the SW end of the group. However, its eroded and breached crater has been covered by forests throughout histor…
Nearest other major location: Chinandega, Nicaragua (35 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
7
0.23/day · Below normal activity (z=-2.59)
Last 7 Days
3 events
43% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.5
Avg M4.69 · min M4.2 · σ 0.47
Energy Released
3,731 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
35.4 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–72.7 km
Underwriting Signal
45.9/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
1.8–12.2
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 85.2 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
449 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.5 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.2
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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