Madang, Papua New Guinea
7-day weather outlook β conditions across the region
7-day forecast β temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal β Current Conditions
26.9Β°C
Partly cloudy · feels 28.8Β°C · humidity 67%
Signal β Wind
14.0 km/h
Gusts to 32.4 km/h · direction 90Β°
Signal β Pressure & Sun
1010 hPa
Sunrise 06:12 · Sunset 18:15
Signal β Sky & Visibility
58% cloud
Visibility 49.7 km · dew point 20.3Β°C
Signal β Earthquake
99.2 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 14 km SSE of Madang, Papua New Guinea (14.2 km, M5.7)
Signal β Flood / Terrain
70 / 100
Elevation 4 m · slope 0.0Β°
Signal β Economic Impact
$2,527 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal β Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal β Air Quality
43 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 Β· Cairns
Signal β UV Index
8.9 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal β Tsunami Risk
HIGH
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal β Nearest Volcano
67 km
Karkar (Stratovolcano) Β· last erupted 1979
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Continental crust (> 25 km)
Karkar is a 19 x 25 km forest-covered island that is truncated by two nested summit calderas. The 5.5 km outer caldera was formed during one or more eruptions, the last of which occurred 9,000 years ago. The steep-walled 300-m-deep, 3.2 km diameter, inner caldera was formed sometime between 1,500 and 800 years ago. Cones are present on the N and S flanks of this basaltic-to-andesitic volcano; a liβ¦
Nearest other major location: Mount Hagen, Papua New Guinea (186 km)
Next 24 hours β hourly detail
Next 24 hours β pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
13
0.43/day Β· Below normal activity (z=-1.18)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.5
Avg M4.75 Β· min M4.1 Β· Ο 0.51
Energy Released
8,882 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
76.0 km avg
7.7% shallow (<10km) Β· range 9.0β137.2 km
Underwriting Signal
49.9/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
5.9β20.1
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 158.2 events/yr Β· 0.2% chance of M5+ within 1 year Β· 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years Β· 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal β Solar Wind
455 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.5 nT (Quiet)
Signal β Geomagnetic (Kp)
1.0 / 9
Quiet β planetary K-index
Signal β Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location β typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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