Manama, Bahrain
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
34.4°C
Clear sky · feels 40.4°C · humidity 61%
Signal — Wind
8.8 km/h
Gusts to 21.6 km/h · direction 67°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1007 hPa
Sunrise 05:19 · Sunset 17:52
Signal — Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 13.3 km · dew point 25.7°C
Signal — Earthquake
35.0 / 100
423 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 103 km SE of Bushehr, Iran (255.2 km, M5.5)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
55 / 100
Elevation 2 m · slope 1.9°
Signal — Economic Impact
$583 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
102 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 · Ruwais, UAE
Signal — UV Index
7.55 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
LOW
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Dār Kulayb, Bahrain (19 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
1
0.03/day · Below normal activity (z=-4.01)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.2
Avg M4.2 · min M4.2 · σ 0
Energy Released
30 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
32.2/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-1.0–3.0
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 12.2 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
338 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 6.5 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B4.7
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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