Manas, Kyrgyzstan
7-day weather outlook β conditions across the region
7-day forecast β temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal β Current Conditions
27.1Β°C
Clear sky · feels 27.3Β°C · humidity 31%
Signal β Wind
7.2 km/h
Gusts to 19.1 km/h · direction 257Β°
Signal β Pressure & Sun
1014 hPa
Sunrise 06:39 · Sunset 19:33
Signal β Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 45.5 km · dew point 8.5Β°C
Signal β Earthquake
90.6 / 100
1402 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 38 km ESE of Osh, Kyrgyzstan (65.7 km, M5.6)
Signal β Flood / Terrain
18 / 100
Elevation 787 m · slope 0.8Β°
Signal β Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal β Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal β Air Quality
50 AQI
Dominant pollutant: o3 Β· Patrol unit, Kashi (εδ»ε°εΊε·‘θ¦ε€§ι)
Signal β UV Index
6.7 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Nearest other major location: Uzgen, Kyrgyzstan (32 km)
Next 24 hours β hourly detail
Next 24 hours β pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
11
0.37/day Β· Below normal activity (z=-1.65)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.1
Avg M4.45 Β· min M4.1 Β· Ο 0.33
Energy Released
1,633 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
68.3 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) Β· range 10β175.8 km
Underwriting Signal
45.6/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
4.5β17.5
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 133.8 events/yr Β· 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year Β· 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years Β· 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal β Solar Wind
342 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 7.0 nT (Unsettled)
Signal β Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet β planetary K-index
Signal β Solar Flare
B4.3
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location β typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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