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Masaya, Nicaragua

11.9732, -86.0959  ·  updated 12 Sep 2026, 06:34 UTC  ·  composite signal 50.9/100
50.9Composite /100
HIGHTsunami Risk
50Air Quality
8kmNearest Volcano
0Wildfire Hotspots
7.0UV Index
1.0Kp Index
2Quakes 7d
Seismic activity map for Masaya, Nicaragua

7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region

7-day weather forecast map for Masaya, Nicaragua

7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind

7-day wind & rain chance

Global baseline

Signal — Current Conditions

24.6°C

Partly cloudy · feels 29.0°C · humidity 92%

Signal — Wind

8.5 km/h

Gusts to 24.5 km/h · direction 61°

Signal — Pressure & Sun

1011 hPa

Sunrise 05:33 · Sunset 17:47

Signal — Sky & Visibility

39% cloud

Visibility 26.2 km · dew point 23.2°C

Signal — Earthquake

98.8 / 100

2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)

Nearest M5.5+: 7 km W of Santa Teresa, Nicaragua (33.3 km, M5.5)

Signal — Flood / Terrain

3 / 100

Elevation 241 m · slope 1.1°

Signal — Economic Impact

$1,400 / yr expected

Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)

Signal — Wildfire (24h)

0 hotspots

None detected within ~55km

Signal — Air Quality

50 AQI

Dominant pollutant: pm25 · San Cristobal, Medellín, Colombia

Signal — UV Index

7.0 (High)

Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo

Signal — Tsunami Risk

HIGH

Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)

Signal — Nearest Volcano

8 km

Masaya (Caldera) · last erupted 2026

989,888 people live within 10km of Masaya · 2,926,954 within 100km
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Continental crust (> 25 km)

Masaya volcano in Nicaragua has erupted frequently since the time of the Spanish Conquistadors, when an active lava lake prompted attempts to extract the volcano's molten "gold" until it was found to be basalt rock upon cooling. It lies within the massive Pleistocene Las Sierras caldera and is itself a broad, 6 x 11 km basaltic caldera with steep-sided walls up to 300 m high. The caldera is filled…

Full Smithsonian GVP profile →

Nearest other major location: Managua, Nicaragua (28 km)

Next 24 hours — hourly detail

Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity

Seismic activity analysis (30-day, 500km)

30-Day Event Count

6

0.2/day · Below normal activity (z=-2.83)

Last 7 Days

2 events

33% of this month's activity happened this week

Largest Event

M5.5

Avg M4.75 · min M4.2 · σ 0.48

Energy Released

3,688 t TNT

Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)

Depth Profile

30.0 km avg

0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–72.7 km

Underwriting Signal

45.2/100

Recommended tier: Basic

95% Confidence Range

1.2–10.8

Statistically expected event count for this window

Projected: 73.0 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years

Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)

Recent significant earthquakes (30yr, 300km)
M7.6 — 11 km ENE of Hojancha, Costa Rica 227 km, 35 km deep
M7.3 — 74 km S of Intipucá, El Salvador 229 km, 40 km deep
M7.3 — 126 km S of Puerto El Triunfo, El Salvador 272 km, 28 km deep
M6.6 — 55 km WSW of Masachapa, Nicaragua 105 km, 27 km deep
M6.6 — 15 km N of Belén, Nicaragua 44 km, 135 km deep
M6.5 — 43 km S of Intipucá, El Salvador 234 km, 70.8 km deep

USGS FDSN

Space weather (planetary signal)

Signal — Solar Wind

403 km/s (Slightly elevated)

Magnetic field: 5.8 nT (Unsettled)

Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)

1.0 / 9

Quiet — planetary K-index

Signal — Solar Flare

B3.7

Current GOES X-ray flux class

Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.

Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)

Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.

Active regional alerts (GDACS, within 750km)
Drought is on going in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador 489 km away

Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)

No country-specific deep dive built yet for Nicaragua. Global baseline data above still reflects real, live USGS and elevation data for this exact coordinate.

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