7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
21.8°C
Partly cloudy · feels 23.5°C · humidity 91%
Signal — Wind
15.7 km/h
Gusts to 48.2 km/h · direction 57°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1014 hPa
Sunrise 05:32 · Sunset 17:47
Signal — Sky & Visibility
43% cloud
Visibility 41.6 km · dew point 20.3°C
Signal — Earthquake
95.1 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 16 km SW of Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua (76.8 km, M6.1)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 682 m · slope 2.3°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
114 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · SDS01, Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
7.1 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
88 km
Momotombo (Stratovolcano) · last erupted 2016
Momotombo is a young stratovolcano that rises prominently above the NW shore of Lake Managua, forming one of Nicaragua's most familiar landmarks. Momotombo began growing about 4500 years ago at the SE end of the Marrabios Range and consists of a somma from an older edifice that is surmounted by a symmetrical younger cone with a 150 x 250 m wide summit crater. Young lava flows extend down the NW f…
Nearest other major location: Estelí, Nicaragua (51 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
7
0.23/day · Below normal activity (z=-2.59)
Last 7 Days
3 events
43% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.5
Avg M4.7 · min M4.2 · σ 0.46
Energy Released
3,749 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
27.2 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–72.7 km
Underwriting Signal
45.9/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
1.8–12.2
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 85.2 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
449 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.5 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.2
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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