7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
17.6°C
Overcast · feels 18.5°C · humidity 81%
Signal — Wind
3.7 km/h
Gusts to 11.9 km/h · direction 119°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1022 hPa
Sunrise 06:15 · Sunset 18:54
Signal — Sky & Visibility
100% cloud
Visibility 20.3 km · dew point 14.3°C
Signal — Earthquake
66.0 / 100
666 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 2 km S of Gjilan, Kosovo (99.6 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
18 / 100
Elevation 517 m · slope 0.8°
Signal — Economic Impact
$719 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
25 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Novi Pazar, Serbia
Signal — UV Index
2.8 (Low)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Nearest other major location: Deçan, Kosovo (13 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
6
0.2/day · Below normal activity (z=-2.83)
Last 7 Days
3 events
50% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.8
Avg M4.42 · min M4.1 · σ 0.25
Energy Released
525 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
40.0/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
1.2–10.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 73.0 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
399 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 5.2 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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