7-day weather outlook β conditions across the region
7-day forecast β temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal β Current Conditions
24.3Β°C
Clear sky · feels 25.1Β°C · humidity 45%
Signal β Wind
1.4 km/h
Gusts to 7.9 km/h · direction 360Β°
Signal β Pressure & Sun
1016 hPa
Sunrise 07:02 · Sunset 19:46
Signal β Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 41.6 km · dew point 11.6Β°C
Signal β Earthquake
43.9 / 100
399 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: Serbia-Bulgaria-Macedonia border region (7.6 km, M5.6)
Signal β Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 736 m · slope 8.3Β°
Signal β Economic Impact
$330 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal β Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal β Air Quality
33 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 Β· Pernik - Center, Bulgaria
Signal β UV Index
6.15 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal β Tsunami Risk
LOW
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Sofia, Bulgaria (26 km)
Next 24 hours β hourly detail
Next 24 hours β pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
8
0.27/day Β· Below normal activity (z=-2.36)
Last 7 Days
3 events
38% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.8
Avg M4.44 Β· min M4.1 Β· Ο 0.22
Energy Released
705 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
42.9 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) Β· range 10β143.6 km
Underwriting Signal
41.3/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
2.5β13.5
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 97.3 events/yr Β· 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year Β· 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years Β· 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal β Solar Wind
429 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 3.5 nT (Quiet)
Signal β Geomagnetic (Kp)
1.0 / 9
Quiet β planetary K-index
Signal β Solar Flare
B3.9
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location β typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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