7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
26.2°C
Overcast · feels 28.7°C · humidity 69%
Signal — Wind
10.1 km/h
Gusts to 30.6 km/h · direction 59°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1012 hPa
Sunrise 06:03 · Sunset 18:04
Signal — Sky & Visibility
94% cloud
Visibility 37.5 km · dew point 20.2°C
Signal — Earthquake
91.0 / 100
1565 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 25 km WNW of Popondetta, Papua New Guinea (25.2 km, M5.6)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 108 m · slope 1.9°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
43 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm10 · Cairns
Signal — UV Index
8.75 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
22 km
Lamington (Stratovolcano) · last erupted 1956
Lamington is an andesitic stratovolcano with a 1.3-km-wide breached summit crater containing a lava dome that rises above the coastal plain of the Papuan Peninsula of New Guinea north of the Owen Stanley Range. A summit complex of lava domes and crater remnants tops a low-angle base of volcaniclastic deposits dissected by radial valleys. A prominent broad "avalanche valley" extends northward from …
Nearest other major location: Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea (142 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
13
0.43/day · Below normal activity (z=-1.18)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.5
Avg M4.68 · min M4 · σ 0.53
Energy Released
7,945 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
69.1 km avg
7.7% shallow (<10km) · range 9.0–186.6 km
Underwriting Signal
49.9/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
5.9–20.1
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 158.2 events/yr · 0.2% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
455 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.5 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
1.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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