7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
12.3°C
Overcast · feels 12.2°C · humidity 99%
Signal — Wind
4.9 km/h
Gusts to 16.9 km/h · direction 17°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1020 hPa
Sunrise 05:54 · Sunset 18:15
Signal — Sky & Visibility
100% cloud
Visibility 0.3 km · dew point 12.1°C
Signal — Earthquake
97.8 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 2 km SSW of San Pablo, Guatemala (52.7 km, M6.9)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 2363 m · slope 1.1°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
33 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · SDS01, Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico
Signal — UV Index
9.2 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
HIGH
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
5 km
Almolonga (Stratovolcano) · last erupted 1818
Volcán de Almolonga is an andesitic stratovolcano with a 3.3-km-wide late-Pleistocene central caldera that is located along the Zunil fault zone. The caldera is surrounded by a ring-dike configuration of dacitic and rhyolitic lava domes. The youngest and only historically active dome complex is Cerro Quemado (whose name means Burned Peak), located immediately south of Guatemala's second largest ci…
Nearest other major location: Antigua, Guatemala (91 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
31
1.03/day · Above normal activity (z=3.06)
Last 7 Days
8 events
26% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.7
Avg M4.43 · min M4 · σ 0.47
Energy Released
14,534 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
44.8 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–178.3 km
Underwriting Signal
63.4/100
Recommended tier: Standard
95% Confidence Range
20.1–41.9
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 377.2 events/yr · 0.4% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.2% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
330 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 5.8 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
3.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B4.5
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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