Roseau, Dominica
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
27.2°C
Partly cloudy · feels 31.0°C · humidity 89%
Signal — Wind
20.8 km/h
Gusts to 56.2 km/h · direction 68°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1016 hPa
Sunrise 05:53 · Sunset 18:09
Signal — Sky & Visibility
76% cloud
Visibility 13.9 km · dew point 25.2°C
Signal — Earthquake
86.3 / 100
634 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 10 km WSW of Soufrière, Dominica (13.4 km, M5.8)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
30 / 100
Elevation 14 m · slope 1.5°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,516 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
60 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Bourg de Schoelcher, Martinique, France
Signal — UV Index
8.9 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
7 km
Plat Pays, Morne (Stratovolcano) · last erupted 1270
Tectonic setting: Subduction zone / Oceanic crust (< 15 km)
The Morne Plat Pays volcanic complex occupies the southern tip of the island of Dominica and has been active throughout the Holocene. An arcuate caldera that formed about 39,000 years ago as a result of a major explosive eruption and flank collapse is open to Soufrière Bay on the west. This depression cuts the SW side of Morne Plat Pays stratovolcano and extends to the southern tip of Dominica. At…
Nearest other major location: Le Robert, Martinique (84 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
12
0.4/day · Below normal activity (z=-1.41)
Last 7 Days
2 events
17% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.1
Avg M3.14 · min M2.42 · σ 0.5
Energy Released
36 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
43.5 km avg
8.3% shallow (<10km) · range 7.3–135 km
Underwriting Signal
38.8/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
5.2–18.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 146.0 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
433 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.1 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.9
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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