7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
33.2°C
Clear sky · feels 33.0°C · humidity 19%
Signal — Wind
5.7 km/h
Gusts to 21.6 km/h · direction 305°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1012 hPa
Sunrise 06:09 · Sunset 18:47
Signal — Sky & Visibility
12% cloud
Visibility 44.8 km · dew point 6.1°C
Signal — Earthquake
35.2 / 100
302 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 22 km N of Bulung’ur Shahri, Uzbekistan (44.9 km, M5.7)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 718 m · slope 1.9°
Signal — Economic Impact
$136 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
151 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Dushanbe US Embassy, Tajikistan
Signal — UV Index
6.65 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Nearest other major location: Istaravshan, Tajikistan (177 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
11
0.37/day · Below normal activity (z=-1.65)
Last 7 Days
1 events
9% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.2
Avg M4.37 · min M4 · σ 0.37
Energy Released
1,567 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
153.8 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–236.1 km
Underwriting Signal
46.3/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
4.5–17.5
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 133.8 events/yr · 0.1% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
428 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 4.1 nT (Quiet)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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