Stara Zagora, Bulgaria
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
14.8°C
Rain · feels 15.4°C · humidity 86%
Signal — Wind
1.4 km/h
Gusts to 14.0 km/h · direction 270°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1018 hPa
Sunrise 06:55 · Sunset 19:31
Signal — Sky & Visibility
100% cloud
Visibility 12.3 km · dew point 12.5°C
Signal — Earthquake
29.6 / 100
266 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: Serbia-Bulgaria-Macedonia border region (220.4 km, M5.6)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 205 m · slope 1.1°
Signal — Economic Impact
$136 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
18 AQI
Dominant pollutant: o3 · Stara Zagora - Zelen Klin, Bulgaria
Signal — UV Index
5.2 (Moderate)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Sliven, Bulgaria (63 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
4
0.13/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.3)
Last 7 Days
2 events
50% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.4
Avg M4.25 · min M4.1 · σ 0.13
Energy Released
154 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
43.6 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–143.6 km
Underwriting Signal
35.7/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
0.1–7.9
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 48.7 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
364 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 6.3 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
4.0 / 9
Unsettled — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.4
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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