7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
26.3°C
Clear sky · feels 28.2°C · humidity 76%
Signal — Wind
20.2 km/h
Gusts to 70.2 km/h · direction 212°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1010 hPa
Sunrise 06:23 · Sunset 18:30
Signal — Sky & Visibility
19% cloud
Visibility 15.3 km · dew point 21.8°C
Signal — Earthquake
97.7 / 100
2000 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 38 km NNE of Ternate, Indonesia (39.8 km, M6)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 280 m · slope 22.1°
Signal — Economic Impact
$1,400 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
1 hotspots
Nearest: 44.4 km away
Signal — Air Quality
106 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Sorong, Indonesia
Signal — UV Index
9.25 (Very High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Tsunami Risk
MODERATE
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Signal — Nearest Volcano
4 km
Gamalama (Stratovolcano(es)) · last erupted 2018
Gamalama is a near-conical stratovolcano that comprises the entire island of Ternate off the western coast of Halmahera, and is one of Indonesia's most active volcanoes. The island was a major regional center in the Portuguese and Dutch spice trade for several centuries, which contributed to the extensive documentation of activity. Three cones, progressively younger to the north, form the summit. …
Nearest other major location: Davao, Philippines (725 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
20
0.67/day · Normal activity (z=0.47)
Last 7 Days
5 events
25% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M5.6
Avg M4.58 · min M4.1 · σ 0.36
Energy Released
6,511 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
88.9 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–322.9 km
Underwriting Signal
55.3/100
Recommended tier: Standard
95% Confidence Range
11.2–28.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 243.3 events/yr · 0.2% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.1% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
410 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 5.7 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B4.5
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
Go Deeper