Tokmok, Kyrgyzstan
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
27.0°C
Clear sky · feels 25.4°C · humidity 29%
Signal — Wind
13.7 km/h
Gusts to 32.4 km/h · direction 280°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1018 hPa
Sunrise 06:34 · Sunset 19:14
Signal — Sky & Visibility
9% cloud
Visibility 53.3 km · dew point 7.2°C
Signal — Earthquake
33.8 / 100
228 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 33 km S of Balykchy, Kyrgyzstan (104.0 km, M5.8)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
18 / 100
Elevation 823 m · slope 0.8°
Signal — Economic Impact
$136 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
5 AQI
Dominant pollutant: co · Almaty, US Embassy, Kazakhstan (Алматы, АҚШ елшілігі)
Signal — UV Index
6.25 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Nearest other major location: Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan (57 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
3
0.1/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.54)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.9
Avg M4.47 · min M4 · σ 0.45
Energy Released
438 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
41.7 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–105.0 km
Underwriting Signal
38.8/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.4–6.4
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 36.5 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
420 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 6.1 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B5.3
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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