Vagharshapat, Armenia
7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
18.2°C
Clear sky · feels 18.2°C · humidity 64%
Signal — Wind
2.6 km/h
Gusts to 8.3 km/h · direction 196°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1019 hPa
Sunrise 06:40 · Sunset 19:16
Signal — Sky & Visibility
0% cloud
Visibility 38.3 km · dew point 11.3°C
Signal — Earthquake
68.7 / 100
749 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 33 km SE of Erci?, Turkey (161.3 km, M5.6)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 877 m · slope 1.1°
Signal — Economic Impact
$719 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
75 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Igdir, Turkey
Signal — UV Index
6.6 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Nearest Volcano
41 km
Aragats (Stratovolcano) · no confirmed Holocene eruption
Tectonic setting: Intraplate / Continental crust (> 25 km)
Aragats is a large andesitic-to-dacitic stratovolcano in NW Armenia about 40 km NW of the capital city of Yerevan. The main edifice is dissected by glaciers and is of Pliocene-to-Pleistocene age. Satellitic cones and fissures are located on all sides of the volcano and were the source of large lava flows that descended its lower flanks. Several of these were considered to be of Holocene age, but l…
Nearest other major location: Yerevan, Armenia (19 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
2
0.07/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.77)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.9
Avg M4.45 · min M4 · σ 0.64
Energy Released
353 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
38.1/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.8–4.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 24.3 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
406 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 7.0 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.1
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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