Varna, Bulgaria
7-day weather outlook β conditions across the region
7-day forecast β temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal β Current Conditions
20.4Β°C
Clear sky · feels 21.2Β°C · humidity 69%
Signal β Wind
5.3 km/h
Gusts to 11.9 km/h · direction 28Β°
Signal β Pressure & Sun
1017 hPa
Sunrise 06:38 · Sunset 19:35
Signal β Sky & Visibility
10% cloud
Visibility 38.7 km · dew point 14.6Β°C
Signal β Earthquake
25.4 / 100
266 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 17 km ESE of Marmara Ere?lisi, Turkey (258.2 km, M5.7)
Signal β Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 69 m · slope 1.5Β°
Signal β Economic Impact
$136 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal β Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal β Air Quality
28 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 Β· Varna - SOU Angel Kanchev, Bulgaria
Signal β UV Index
5.9 (Moderate)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal β Tsunami Risk
LOW
Based on largest nearby earthquake magnitude (30yr history)
Nearest other major location: Dobrich, Bulgaria (39 km)
Next 24 hours β hourly detail
Next 24 hours β pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
3
0.1/day Β· Below normal activity (z=-3.54)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.6
Avg M4.4 Β· min M4.2 Β· Ο 0.2
Energy Released
210 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
98.1 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) Β· range 11.0β143.6 km
Underwriting Signal
36.5/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.4β6.4
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 36.5 events/yr Β· 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year Β· 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years Β· 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal β Solar Wind
336 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 6.6 nT (Unsettled)
Signal β Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet β planetary K-index
Signal β Solar Flare
B5.8
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location β typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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