7-day weather outlook β conditions across the region
7-day forecast β temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal β Current Conditions
20.0Β°C
Partly cloudy · feels 19.4Β°C · humidity 54%
Signal β Wind
5.1 km/h
Gusts to 16.6 km/h · direction 51Β°
Signal β Pressure & Sun
1014 hPa
Sunrise 06:33 · Sunset 19:28
Signal β Sky & Visibility
50% cloud
Visibility 41.5 km · dew point 10.4Β°C
Signal β Earthquake
67.0 / 100
735 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 33 km SE of Erci?, Turkey (170.1 km, M5.6)
Signal β Flood / Terrain
3 / 100
Elevation 996 m · slope 2.3Β°
Signal β Economic Impact
$719 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal β Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal β Air Quality
54 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 Β· Aralik, Turkey
Signal β UV Index
7.05 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal β Nearest Volcano
43 km
Ghegham Volcanic Ridge (Volcanic field) Β· last erupted -1900
The Ghegham Volcanic Ridge, located in west-central Armenia between the capital city of Yerevan and Lake Sevan, contains as many as 127 volcanic centers, lava domes and pyroclastic cones, of Pleistocene-to-Holocene age. The volcanoes and associated lava flows cover a 65-km-long, 35-km-wide area west of Lake Sevan and south of the Hrazdan River and are concentrated along three NNW-SSE-trending aligβ¦
Nearest other major location: Vagharshapat, Armenia (19 km)
Next 24 hours β hourly detail
Next 24 hours β pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
1
0.03/day Β· Below normal activity (z=-4.01)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.9
Avg M4.9 Β· min M4.9 Β· Ο 0
Energy Released
338 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) Β· range 10β10 km
Underwriting Signal
37.4/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-1.0β3.0
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 12.2 events/yr Β· 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year Β· 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years Β· 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal β Solar Wind
349 km/s (Calm)
Magnetic field: 4.6 nT (Quiet)
Signal β Geomagnetic (Kp)
0.0 / 9
Quiet β planetary K-index
Signal β Solar Flare
B4.9
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location β typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
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