7-day weather outlook — conditions across the region
7-day forecast — temperature, precipitation & wind
7-day wind & rain chance
Signal — Current Conditions
21.0°C
Partly cloudy · feels 22.9°C · humidity 77%
Signal — Wind
3.1 km/h
Gusts to 7.2 km/h · direction 126°
Signal — Pressure & Sun
1021 hPa
Sunrise 06:29 · Sunset 19:05
Signal — Sky & Visibility
70% cloud
Visibility 31.4 km · dew point 16.8°C
Signal — Earthquake
56.8 / 100
507 events considered (30yr, 300km radius)
Nearest M5.5+: 1 km ENE of Mamrux, Azerbaijan (107.8 km, M5.6)
Signal — Flood / Terrain
45 / 100
Elevation 18 m · slope 0.4°
Signal — Economic Impact
$778 / yr expected
Based on country average estimate property value ($194,400)
Signal — Wildfire (24h)
0 hotspots
None detected within ~55km
Signal — Air Quality
54 AQI
Dominant pollutant: pm25 · Varketili, Tbilisi, Georgia
Signal — UV Index
6.35 (High)
Today's peak UV, Open-Meteo
Signal — Nearest Volcano
136 km
Porak (Volcanic field) · last erupted -778
The mid-Pleistocene Porak volcano lies in the Vardenis volcanic highland about 20 km SE of Lake Sevan. The volcanic field straddles the Armenia/Azerbaijan border, and lava flows extend into both countries. The flanks contain 10 satellitic cones and fissure vents. It was constructed along the active Pambak-Sevan strike-slip fault, which has bisected the mid-Pleistocene Khonarassar volcano, separati…
Nearest other major location: Mingachevir, Azerbaijan (18 km)
Next 24 hours — hourly detail
Next 24 hours — pressure & humidity
30-Day Event Count
2
0.07/day · Below normal activity (z=-3.77)
Last 7 Days
0 events
0% of this month's activity happened this week
Largest Event
M4.9
Avg M4.45 · min M4 · σ 0.64
Energy Released
353 t TNT
Cumulative seismic energy, 30 days (Gutenberg-Richter)
Depth Profile
10.0 km avg
0.0% shallow (<10km) · range 10–10 km
Underwriting Signal
38.1/100
Recommended tier: Basic
95% Confidence Range
-0.8–4.8
Statistically expected event count for this window
Projected: 24.3 events/yr · 0.0% chance of M5+ within 1 year · 0.0% chance of M6+ within 5 years · 0.0% chance of M7+ within 10 years
Same statistical model as your Risk Evidence Report (USGS FDSN, 30-day/500km window)
USGS FDSN
Signal — Solar Wind
401 km/s (Slightly elevated)
Magnetic field: 7.1 nT (Unsettled)
Signal — Geomagnetic (Kp)
2.0 / 9
Quiet — planetary K-index
Signal — Solar Flare
B3.1
Current GOES X-ray flux class
Solar wind speed and magnetic field strength indicate current space weather activity. Elevated or storm-level readings can disrupt satellites, GPS accuracy, and power grids. This is a planetary-scale signal, not specific to this location — typical quiet conditions run under 400 km/s wind speed and under 5 nT magnetic field.
Source: NOAA SWPC (planetary signal, same for every location)
Sources: USGS (earthquakes), Open-Elevation (terrain), Open-Meteo (weather). Illustrative estimate, not a certified engineering or actuarial assessment.
Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System (GDACS)
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